It's WORLD WAR III (Not Really)
Iran remains committed to nothing ever happening
After the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh on July 31, the usual suspects – self-described “geopolitical analysts,” anti-Zionist pundits, and so on – sounded the World War III alarm once more. The internet was ablaze with panicky predictions regarding an Iranian counterattack – one of a considerably greater severity than we have come to expect from the Islamic Republic.
Nearly a week later, that counterattack still hasn’t happened.
Oh, Iranian officials have promised to punish the Zionist regime for its great transgression. That isn’t a surprise, and perhaps they will. But it should be obvious by now that Iran has no interest in launching a full-scale war against Israel or kicking off World War III in some other way.
Consider what Nasser Kanani, the Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson, had to say today:
No one has the right to doubt Iran’s legal right to punish the Zionist regime.
Reinforcing stability and security in the region will be achieved by punishing the aggressor and creating deterrence against Israel and its adventurism.
While Iran has no interest in exacerbating regional tensions, we believe it is necessary to hold Israel accountable to prevent further instability.
In other words: Iran is really serious…about launching what will probably amount to another drone strike like we saw in April of this year, after the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, and many other times.
This isn’t anything new. Anyone familiar with Iran will know that its strategy is to chip away at Israel via proxies and to provoke the Jewish state into opting for courses of action which make it look bad on the (increasingly liberal) world stage. Iran has nothing to gain from a world war, simply put. Plus, to declare one would require the support of Russia and China, and neither are interested in a world war – at least not now and certainly not over anything Gaza-related.
To be perfectly clear, I would not support American troops being deployed to a war between Israel and Iran. Israel must (and can) defend itself. Anyone demanding America invade Iran or something of that sort should face harsh criticism.
And while Americans are well within their rights to question if a particular démarche will suck their country into a foreign entanglement, those making such predictions since Oct. 7. – at the outset of the conflict, before the invasion of Rafah, etc. – have been wrong. And they continue to be wrong, as evidenced by the Iranian spokesman’s statement statement today.
If your theoretical framework is responsible for predicting ten out of the last zero Iranian war declarations, it might need a little tweaking. But reasonable analysis rarely garners more social media engagement than doomsday prognostications, hence why you see so much more of the latter online.
I say this not because I am greatly invested in Israel's conflicts with its neighbors, but because I am not. My focus is America, and while foreign policy undeniably matters, at a certain point it can become a distraction from more important domestic issues.
Opposition to mass migration and gay race communism is unquestionably more important to Americans than what happens between Israel and its enemies on a day-to-day basis. Of course, the outbreak of World War III would change that. But none of the parties involved (including Iran) are interested in that for the time being.
Lol